Tag: 100 fixed matches

major fixed matches

major fixed matches

major fixed matches

Free Prediction For 02.04.2023
Match: Always Ready – Universitario de Vinto
Pick: 1 (Home Win) – 74% Predict rate
Pick: Over 2.5 (Total Goals) – 62% Predict rate
The mathematical analysis predicts a victory for Always Ready for winner market with 74%.
FT: 1:2

Match: Olympiacos Piraeus – Aris
Pick: 1 (Home Win) – 74% Predict rate
The mathematical analysis predicts a victory for Olympiacos Piraeus for winner market with 74%.
FT: 2:2

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What Do GF, GA, and GD Mean in Soccer?

The value of soccer stats for fans of the game cannot be overstated. This is especially true for punters – statistics and deep knowledge of the teams are crucial if you want to find success. However, beginners are often stumped by all the numbers, abbreviations, and strange terms. After all, most soccer statistics are not quite general knowledge.

Stats aggregators and football league tables often feature three common football terms – GF (Goals For), GA (Goals Agains) and GD (Goal Difference.) You may be able to guess what they mean, but a true soccer betting strategy is not about guessing. It’s about knowing.

No worries, though – it’s nothing complicated, and we can explain GA for beginners.

This simple soccer betting guide will explain GA, GF, and GD in soccer. We’ll completely cover what GD means in football, how to calculate it, and how it can be useful in betting.

Before we get to the meaning of GD, though, we’ll have to cover GF and GA first.

GF Meaning (Goals For)

In soccer, GF stands for Goals For displays how many goals a team has scored in a given season. That’s all there really is to it.

For example, a GF score of 45 means that the team has scored a total of 45 goals up to that moment. However, it’s important to note that only goals scored during the regular 90-minute full time count. This includes stoppage time. However, it does not include goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts.

So how important is GF for football teams?

Well, obviously, the team that scores more goals than their opponents wins the match. As a general rule, the more goals a team scores, the more games they win. However, it’s not a hard rule by any means. For instance, some teams play a very aggressive style and end up scoring a lot, but conceding even more.

GF in football is a somewhat solid indicator of how the team is performing, though. Teams with the most goals scored in a season tend to be near the top of the table. However, you must resist the urge to overvalue GF as well.

Put it this way – in a typical association football league structure, a team gets 3 points for a win. However, it doesn’t matter whether that victory was a 1:0 close game or a 7:1 wipeout. Both results only get 3 points.

As such, it’s theoretically possible for a team to score a lot of goals but not win many games overall. We can safely say that such cases are not very common, though. Still, GF stats in football can be useful for betting markets like Goals Scored or BTTS. major fixed matches

GA Meaning (Goals Against)

GA is essentially the opposite of GF. That’s probably all the info you need, but we’ll elaborate anyway.

GA in soccer stands for Goals Against and shows the number of goals a team has conceded during a given season. Consider it a short-hand way of saying “goals scored against this team.” Every time an opposing team scores against a particular team, that team’s GA score goes up by one.

Pretty much everything we said about Goals For applies to Goals Against in soccer, only it’s reversed. Conceding many goals in-game tends to indicate that a team is not doing well. However, there have been squads that played aggressively and still saw success. In practice, this would mean that their GA score is big, but their GF score is even higher.

As a rule of thumb, a low GA score means that a team has a strong defence, but it has no real bearing on how well they’re doing offensively. So, for instance, a team that plays too conservatively might end up with many draws and not a lot of wins. Such a team is not likely to rank very highly on a typical season table.

All in all, GA stats in soccer are useful for markets such as Goals Scored (Under).

What Does GD Mean in Soccer?

In soccer, GD stands for Goal Difference and it shows the difference between how many goals a team has scored vs. how many they’ve conceded.

To calculate goal difference in soccer, simply take the Goals For number and subtract Goals Against.

Between these three stats, GD is perhaps the most helpful stat on a typical league table. There are two reasons for this.

The first one is obvious – scoring goals and not letting the other team do so is how you win a match. It doesn’t take a genius to figure that one out.

More importantly, however, Goal Difference is used as a tiebreaker if two teams happen to have the same number of match points in a league. For instance, if both teams have the same number of league points at the end of the season, the team with the bigger GD will place higher.

It wasn’t always like this, though. Up until 1970, standard UEFA rules used Goal Average in place of Goal Difference. Goal Average takes the number of goals scored and divides it by the number of concessions. The result was that teams could rank quite well by simply having a strong defence and conceding as little as possible.

Starting with the 1975 season, however, Goal Difference rules in soccer were introduced to promote a more aggressive style of play. It’s a good thing, too – football matches are generally more exciting to watch nowadays.

Note that this isn’t always the case. For example, the Italian Serie A league uses head-to-head stats as a tiebreaker.

Using GD in Soccer Betting Strategies

First of all, Goal Difference is a relatively helpful indicator of how well a team is performing. A high goal difference means that they’re attacking well, defending well, or a little bit of both. This translates to a strong form.

Conversely, a negative goal difference usually means they’re not doing so great. Measuring team form in soccer is not always as easy as looking at a few numbers, though. Many other things need to be considered, such as head-to-head stats. For example, a team may have a poor GD score simply because they only had terrible match-ups up to that point.

Moreover, consider things like player injuries and other soccer news. Such details may hold valuable info as to why a team is performing well (or not.)

As we have already glossed over, GF, GD, and GA are most useful for betting on markets like Goals Scored, otherwise known as over/under betting in football. major fixed matches

For example, a team with a high GF total can be a good candidate for something like an Over 2.5 Goals bet. Two teams with such totals are even better. Moreover, two teams that both score a lot and concede a lot can be a good opportunity for Both Teams to Score.

This also partially explains the downsides of not paying attention to all three values. For instance, a team with a low Goal Difference could be either very aggressive or very defensive. That’s why you need to look at all three numbers whenever you’re analyzing league tables.

Conclusion major fixed matches

We have pretty much covered the basics of how Goal Difference works in soccer. It’s an undeniably useful bit of data. However, beginners often get hung up on simple numbers and fail to see the bigger picture.

While soccer stats are important, don’t neglect to dig deeper. Look at the numbers, but also try to understand what the numbers indicate and why they are the way they are. Critical thinking like that is the best path to success with football betting.

source: www.soccernews.com/what-do-gf-ga-and-gd-mean-in-soccer/348560/

100 fixed correct score

100 fixed correct score

100 fixed correct score

Free Prediction For 13.03.2023

Match: Graafschap – Zwolle
Pick: X2 (Double Chance) – 76% Predict rate
Pick: Over 2.5 (Total Goals)  – 71% Predict rate
The mathematical analysis predicts a victory for Zwolle for winner market with 61%.
FT: 0:1

Match: Versailles – Bastia-Borgo
Pick: 1 (Home Win) – 70% Predict rate
Pick: Over 1.5 (Total Goals)  – 72% Predict rate
The mathematical analysis predicts a victory for Versailles for winner market with 70%.
FT: 1:0

Football Draw Stats – Finding Value

You may be looking at this table and think to yourself, but how can I predict draws with this? There are in fact several ways that this table could be used to draw out some great predictions, especially when combining it with some of our other football stats.

Frequent Draws

  • The most obvious way to use the stats for draw predictions is to see which team does in fact draw the most often. If a team has more draws than wins and losses combined, then its safe to say that they’re likely to tie with their opponent. This can be heightened if two opposing teams have similar or high percentage of draw results.

High and Low Scorers

If a team does have many draws, delving deeper and understanding how they are getting those draws may be crucial. By comparing draw stats with our Total Team Goals stats, you’ll be able to more accurately predict draws.

  • More defensive teams will likely have fewer goals per match as they score and concede less, meaning that they tend to get more draws as a result. Looking out for defensive teams may win you a pretty penny if you calculate well. 

    On the other hand, teams with many draws but a high number of goals for and against may not be a wise choice, as their score will be much more unpredictable and volatile.

Why Should I Bet on Draws?

Most people, especially football fans, tend to bet by following their gut instinct or backing the team they hope will win. Arsenal fans will bet on an Arsenal win, for example, while Manchester United fans will consistently back a victory for their team. That means that a bookmaker’s liability (what operators must pay out to punters) is usually stacked on either team to win.

If nobody is backing a particular outcome, bookies will boost the odds on the latter, while lowering the odds on other outcomes (win or loss in this case). This means they will have to pay less in case of the other outcomes being successful. A draw may have real odds of around 9/4; however, the lack of bets can push the odds up to 5/2 or even close to 3/1.

Separating Odds Sets

When looking at various sets of odds, this becomes very clear. Let us look at two examples of 1X2 outcomes.

The first has a strong home favourite, with odds of 13/20 (home team to win), 23/10 (draw), and 19/4 (away team to win), while the second has more balanced odds at 8/5, 23/10, and 9/5.

If you have been paying attention, you will see that despite the odds being different, a draw is equally likely. In the first set, the draw is the second most likely outcome, while in the second, it is the most likely outcome.

As you can see, a draw can be just as likely when there is a heavy favourite to win as when both teams are evenly matched. This is often caused by heavy betting on the favourite, which can skew the odds.

Promotions for Betting on Draws

Whether or not you are betting on draws, it’s a good idea to look out for any offers which may give you a competitive edge or advantage over the bookie.

You’ll might find some great promotions such as the bet365 ‘Bore Draw’ Money Back Offer, which refunds your stake if a match finishes 0-0, giving your bet added safety. Since around 8% of all football matches end in a nil – nil draw, this promotion is certainly worth taking a look at.

The Probability of Draws in Football

Of course, football teams are not incentivised to settle for a draw. All professional leagues award three points for a win and just one for a tie. However, this does not stop draws from being frequent.

While draws are more common in lower leagues, they are less frequent in higher leagues. This can be seen clearly when comparing the percentages of draws between the EPL and League 2, Serie A and Serie B, and Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2, shown in the table below.

Just in case you are wondering, the league with the most draws in the 2021/2022 season was the Iran Azadegan League, the second division of Iranian football, with a whopping draw percentage of 51.61%!

100 fixed correct score

100 fixed correct score

How To Predict Draws – A Mathematical Approach

While knowing how often draws occur in a specific league is very relevant, it does not tell us how likely a draw will be in a specific matchup. In order to calculate their odds, bookies use mathematical models to predict the likelihood of any possible outcome. That includes draws, wins, losses, and specific scores. Two of the most common models are Poisson distribution and Normal Distribution.

  • Predicting Draws with Poisson Distribution

Poisson distribution is a method that uses probability theory to predict how likely an event is. You can use it to calculate the likelihood of a specific score in football. To do this, you need to first calculate your league’s average goal expectancy, as well as the attack strength and defence strength for both sides. After calculating how likely every specific score is, you can add up the probabilities of all drawing scores (0 – 0, 1 – 1, 2 – 2, 3 – 3, 4 – 4, etc).

Read our full article on Poisson distribution and learn how to create your own Poisson football spreadsheet with Excel (as shown below).  100 fixed correct score

  • Normal Distribution

Normal distribution is a statistical model based on averages, as well as how often they occur. Two teams may have the same average score – however, one team can be very consistent, while one team overperforms and underperforms frequently. By calculating the standard deviation, you can see how often and by how much results differ from the mean. This will possibly give you a more nuanced result.

  • Other Mathematical Factors

100 fixed correct score

If you are looking to bet on draws, look at how likely a draw is in a specific league. Draws have plenty of correlations. Low-scoring leagues have more draws than higher scoring leagues. The fewer the goals, the more likely a draw.

Another rule of thumb is to look for teams approximately equal in strength. One way is to use Elo ratings. If one team is weaker, it can make up for it with a home field advantage.

  • Soft Factors

Besides a more mathematical approach, there are plenty of soft factors that can increase or decrease the probability of a draw. While these are highly influential, they are not as easy to quantify, and are often ignored by bookies.

  • Playing Style

While certain factors, such as attack/defence ratio, attack strength, goals scored, and goals conceded are easily quantified, the exact style matchups between different teams are hard to express in numbers. Strategic scenarios are the stuff of managers. Still, it can’t hurt to come up with your own likely scenarios for how a match will play out.

  • Motivation Factor

Another important factor is motivation. This depends a lot on where in the season the tournament is, and is particularly relevant at the end. Teams that desperately need a win for a title challenge or to prevent themselves from being relegated are more motivated than teams in the middle of the pack. Teams with nothing to win or lose may be more likely to draw matches.

Weaker teams may also be more content with a draw when playing stronger teams. Instead of chasing the victory, they may be content to simply defend and shut down the team with better accolades.

Draw Betting Systems Ranked

There are various draw betting systems you can use, with some riskier than others. We have ranked them below from best to worst.

1. Backing the Draw System

The backing the draw system is the main strategy for draw betting. The idea behind it is very simple. Since punters and football fans are more likely to bet on teams to win, less money comes in on draws, causing bookies to inflate the odds on ties.

While the real odds on a draw are closer to 2/1 (or even lower), the lack of bets pushes the odds up to near 3/1. If you bet the same stake on three draws with odds of around 3/1 and only win one of them, you will still make a profit.

Several tipsters sell draw tips based on this system. Every week, they usually choose three or more matches for draw picks, while boasting a considerable ROI. Of course, there is no reason you cannot figure it out for yourself.

2. 2 out of 5 System

The 2 out of 5 system is essentially a strategy that involves accumulators or a system bet. Here, you chose five matches that are likely to draw. Instead of betting directly on those five matches, you place a system bet, betting on all the doubles (the outcome of each individual match parlayed with each of the other matches).

As the name suggests, you will only need two out of every five matches correct in order to make a profit. This usually works if the odds are on average over 23/10 (which is common for draws) or higher for your selections.

3. Betting on Draw/Odd Total

This is essentially a form of Dutching or arbitrage betting. On one hand, you bet on a draw, on the other, you bet on an odd (instead of even) score. Since a draw is always an even score, you can be sure that you will win. Whether this strategy works depends on the odds, of course.

Most bookies’ odds are set in a way to prevent this from happening. Nevertheless, you can sometimes find opportunities by shopping between different bookies.

4. Chasing a Draw (Martingale with draw)

Chasing a draw is a less sophisticated method of draw betting. It is a variation of the Martingale betting strategywhich advises that you keep doubling your bets until you are in the black. Here, you keep betting on the same team to draw and keep doubling your bets to make up for any losses.

On the surface, this makes sense – every team will draw eventually. Thus, it is just a matter of time before you actually make money. However, the system has limitations. Your bankroll is not infinite, and if a team has a long enough streak without a draw, you will have no funds left. 100 fixed correct score

‘Draw No Bet’

A betting system which definitely deserves a mention is the ‘Draw No Bet’ market. Unlike a regular single bet with three choices i.e. Home team win, Away team win or draw, this bet eliminates the draw entirely, meaning you can only bet on a winner. If the game does end in a draw, this is considered a ‘No bet’, and your stake is refunded.

This gives punters an added safety net when betting, and could be another way of betting on an even match up. To get a better grasp of this market, check out our Draw No Bet guide.

Source: www.thepunterspage.com/betting-on-draws/